Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000629 0.000713 0.000803 0.000904 0.001016 0.001134 0.001270
2026-01-11 0.000493 0.000609 0.000740 0.000899 0.001083 0.001291 0.001540
2026-01-18 0.000416 0.000545 0.000698 0.000890 0.001122 0.001392 0.001727
2026-01-25 0.000366 0.000505 0.000676 0.000898 0.001175 0.001508 0.001932
2026-02-01 0.000323 0.000468 0.000652 0.000899 0.001216 0.001605 0.002112
2026-02-08 0.000278 0.000422 0.000611 0.000872 0.001217 0.001650 0.002227
2026-02-15 0.000242 0.000384 0.000577 0.000851 0.001221 0.001697 0.002343
2026-02-22 0.000216 0.000358 0.000557 0.000845 0.001245 0.001768 0.002489
2026-03-01 0.000196 0.000337 0.000540 0.000844 0.001272 0.001841 0.002640
2026-03-08 0.000175 0.000313 0.000519 0.000832 0.001284 0.001895 0.002764
2026-03-15 0.000156 0.000291 0.000497 0.000818 0.001291 0.001940 0.002876
2026-03-22 0.000148 0.000285 0.000498 0.000839 0.001347 0.002054 0.003085
2026-03-29 0.000137 0.000275 0.000494 0.000851 0.001391 0.002153 0.003278
2026-04-05 0.000124 0.000258 0.000479 0.000844 0.001408 0.002214 0.003418
2026-04-12 0.000112 0.000243 0.000463 0.000836 0.001421 0.002269 0.003551
2026-04-19 0.000105 0.000234 0.000458 0.000843 0.001458 0.002360 0.003736
2026-04-26 0.000096 0.000224 0.000449 0.000844 0.001484 0.002434 0.003898
2026-05-03 0.000085 0.000205 0.000425 0.000819 0.001468 0.002445 0.003968
2026-05-10 0.000075 0.000190 0.000404 0.000799 0.001458 0.002465 0.004051
2026-05-17 0.000068 0.000180 0.000394 0.000794 0.001473 0.002521 0.004188
2026-05-24 0.000063 0.000171 0.000385 0.000792 0.001492 0.002584 0.004337
2026-05-31 0.000057 0.000161 0.000372 0.000781 0.001496 0.002624 0.004450
2026-06-07 0.000051 0.000151 0.000358 0.000768 0.001494 0.002654 0.004550